# Why I stopped giving price predictions

They get views. They are also the least honest thing I could put in front of you, and I want to explain why.

- URL: https://pushpendra.info/articles/why-i-stopped-giving-price-predictions
- Author: Pushpendra Singh
- Language: English
- Topics: experience, risk, investing

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Price predictions work. A video with a number in the title outperforms one without, every time.
I know this, because I have the numbers.

I stopped making them anyway, and I think the reason matters more than the decision.

## They are not information

A prediction sounds like knowledge. It is a guess with confidence attached.

Nobody knows where the price will be in six months. Not me, not the person with a chart full of
lines, not the fund manager on television. The difference between us is not accuracy, it is how
comfortably we say it.

When I put a number in front of you, I am not telling you something true. I am telling you
something that feels true, which is worse, because it is harder to argue with.

## They replace your thinking with mine

This is the part that actually bothered me.

If you buy something because I said a number, you have no way to decide anything afterwards.
It drops 40%, and what do you do? You cannot evaluate it, because the reasoning was never
yours. You either message me, or you panic.

I have had both. Neither is a position I want to be in, and neither is a position that helps
you.

## Being right is worse than being wrong

A wrong prediction gets forgotten. A right one is the dangerous one.

Call it correctly once and people stop checking your reasoning entirely. They start treating
the next call as reliable, which it is not, because the first one was luck dressed as skill.

The most damaging thing I could do to someone is be right in public at the wrong moment.

## What I do instead

I talk about the questions rather than the answers. What I check before buying. How I decide
size. What would make me sell. What the tax does to a strategy in India.

These travel. You can apply them to something I have never heard of, in a market I am not
watching, in a year when I am not around.

A price target does none of that. It is useful for exactly one asset, for exactly as long as
it takes to be wrong.

## What to do when you see one

Ask what happens to that person if it does not come true. Usually the answer is nothing.

They keep the views either way. You keep the position.

That asymmetry is the whole reason this content exists, and it is why I would rather have
fewer viewers and be worth listening to.

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Written by Pushpendra Singh, crypto educator and founder of SmartViewAI, Top Crypto Educator at
Consensus 2025. Not financial or tax advice. https://pushpendra.info